I've been trying to figure out for myself what the Magic need to finalize the roster. We now know the Luxury tax is $69 million, and the eight signed players already take up about $67 million in payroll. The Magic will clearly be tax payers, but are likely to want to limit their exposure. My point of this post is not to editorialize if I think the Devos family should spend a lot more and win a title.
Sometime after the Finals I wrote something about hoping for a non-boring summer. The Magic have certainly delivered an adventurous summer so far by losing 5 of their top 11 players in exchange for two quality players.
The Magic are incomplete at the moment with 8 contracts and need somewhere between 5 and 7 more contracts. Of the probable 6 players, 2 to 3 need to contribute and the others need to bring it to practice.
I decided to look at this question as a matter of minutes. I do this with the belief that it is minutes that show the significance of a player to Coach Van Gundy. Regardless about what he says in the papers, the numbers don't lie. Players he relies on to win games get a lot of minutes. Other don't. Things change in the playoffs, but since we are currently worried about the upcoming regular season I decided to only look at last regular season.
Make what you will of the fact that Gortat was 11th on the team in minutes played during the regular season.
Last Season 16 players logged 19,730 minutes for the Magic. The Big 3 logged 2800 minutes each with Turkoglu now gone. Jameer was on pace for 2500 All-Star minutes before his injury. I never would have guessed that Grandpa Johnson was 5th on the team in minutes played. For that matter, I don't remember the great Adonal Foyle playing a single minute.
Ranked by Regular Season Minutes Played:
1. Rashard Lewis -- 2859
2. Dwight Howard -- 2821
3. Hedo Turkoglu -- 2815
4. Courtney Lee -- 1939
5. Anthony Johnson -- 1481
6. Mickael Pietrus -- 1329
7. Jameer Nelson -- 1309
8. Tony Battie -- 1202
9. J.J. Redick -- 1111
10. Rafer Alston† -- 856
11. Marcin Gortat -- 794
12. Keith Bogans† -- 787
13. Brian Cook† -- 146
14. Tyronn Lue† -- 129
15. Jeremy Richardson -- 93
16. Adonal Foyle† -- 59
Currently gone or not signed are 10 of those 16 with a total of 8,820 minutes played, or 44.7% of last years Eastern Conference champs:
3. Hedo Turkoglu -- 2815
4. Courtney Lee -- 1939
8. Tony Battie -- 1202
10. Rafer Alston† -- 856
11. Marcin Gortat -- 794
12. Keith Bogans† -- 787
13. Brian Cook† -- 146
14. Tyronn Lue† -- 129
15. Jeremy Richardson -- 93
16. Adonal Foyle† -- 59
Players 12-16 did not log any playoff minutes due to trade or inactivity and are easily replaced. Alston's minutes will be replaced by Jameer Nelson assuming he is fully recovered.
So far the Magic have added back 4,258 minutes played from last year:
Vince Carter 2,946 minutes
Ryan Anderson 1,312 minutes
Carter would have led the Magic in minutes played. Not bad for a 32 year old. Anderson would have been 7th on the Magic in minutes played. If you look at the NJ trade in terms of minutes, The Magic traded 3,997 minutes and got back 4,258. If Nelson stays healthy and assumes all of Alston's minutes next year, this trade amounts to Carter and Anderson for Lee and Battie. Lee (nearly beloved but missed the damn shot) is a loss, but this is clearly a lopsided trade for the Magic in regards of production.
The question now becomes how to replace:
3. Small Forward 2,815 minutes
11. Backup Center 794 minutes
12. Backup SG/SF 787 minutes
plus 3 pieces of well dressed sideline artwork: 427 minutes.
It's not as bad as it looks. Pietrus is likely to join the 2500 minute club next season all at SF. Anderson is 6'10" and can take some of the backup center minutes when the Magic go small. Right now SF backup solution is Carter/Redick or Lewis/Anderson on the floor when Pietrus sits. Clearly Otis Smith must deliver two more key pieces before the summer is over.
Current Roster:
Center
Howard
Backup Open: 794 minutes
PF
Lewis
Anderson
SF
Pietrus
Backup Open
SG
Carter
Redick
PG
Nelson
Johnson
Looks like the Magic are in need of a backup Center to play 10 minutes a game, and a SF/SG wing to also contribute 10 minutes a game.
And my guess is they are going to spend about $5 million total to deliver both.