Can the Magic secure a playoff spot in the final two months?
Let's assume for the sake of argument that the Magic will need a minimum of 40 wins to secure a playoff spot. They are currently a 7th seed at 27-26, 2 1/2 games ahead of 9th seed NJ. Of course, only the top 8 teams are awarded a playoff berth. The Magic have 29 games remaining (16 away, 13 home). To finish with 40 wins, the Magic would have to finish their remaining games 13-16.
Let's try and project how the Magic might finish to get to that 40 win mark. Out of their 16 remaining road games, ten of those games are against teams currently at or above .500. Let's project the Magic finish 2-8 in those games (to clarify, the only team the Magic will face that is currently exactly at .500 is MIA). Six of those road games are against sub-.500 teams. Let's project the Magic finish 3-3 in those games. That gives the Magic a 5-11 record in their remaining away games.
Of their 13 remaining home games, seven of those games are against teams currently at or above .500. Let's project the Magic go 3-4 in those games. Six of those home games are against sub-.500 teams. Let's project the Magic go 5-1 in those games. That gives the Magic an 8-5 record in their remaining home games, and a 13-16 record overall in their remaining 29 games, which would come out to a 40-42 record and a likely playoff spot!
Remember, I'm just projecting the minimum amount of wins that I think it would take for the Magic to earn a playoff spot. There's always the possibility of a couple upsets either way that could make the Magic's final record either better or worse than 40-42.
A final note... after the All-Star Break, 12 of the Magic's first 16 games are against teams at or above .500 (10 road, 6 home), but after that, 8 of their final 13 games are against teams below .500 (7 home, 6 road). It's possible the Magic could wind up with a mediocre 6-10 or 5-11 record in the upcoming 16 game stretch, and then win 7 or 8 games out of the last 13 against weaker competition to close the season and give them their 40 wins.
If the Magic do finish at 40-42, MIA would have to finish 15-15 to overtake them at Number 7, NJ would have to finish 16-12 to overtake the Magic at Number 8. If NJ falters, NY would have to go 18-11 to overtake the Magic. The Magic would likely have to finish over .500 to overtake any of the teams currently ahead of them.